Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.7
	1.47	2.96
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	2.77 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
66.1%

Miguel Damas
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Damas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francesco Maestrelli - Miguel Damas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 112. Damas is ranked ATP: 271.

Maestrelli has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Damas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maestrelli could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Miguel Damas - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Miguel Damas - Piet Luis Pinter	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Miguel Damas - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Miguel Damas	Damas M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLW?

Francesco Maestrelli - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide