Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 13 November 2023, Monday


	Tristan Boyer		Orlando Luz

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.13	1.66
	2.13	1.67
	2.1	1.67
	2.18	1.63	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.66)	1.65 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Boyer
43.8%

Orlando Luz
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Boyer's form might have worsened.

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Luz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Boyer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Tristan Boyer - Orlando Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boyer will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Luz will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luz: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Tristan Boyer - Juan Cruz Blanco Cauterucci	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Tristan Boyer - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Tristan Boyer - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
31.10.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Juan Pablo Paz - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Orlando Luz	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Orlando Luz - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW

Tristan Boyer - Orlando Luz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide