Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA 2 (PERU) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Valentin Vacherot		Orlando Luz

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.71
	2.05	1.72
	2.1	1.67
	2.21	1.61
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.73)	1.67 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
44.3%

Orlando Luz
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Vacherot's form might have worsened.

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Luz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Valentin Vacherot - Orlando Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Luz will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luz: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Luz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.10.23	Juan Pablo Paz - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
18.10.23	Giuseppe La Vela - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
12.10.23	Martin Krumich - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Irakli Tsurtsumia - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Orlando Luz	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Orlando Luz - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Orlando Luz - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Blaise Bicknell - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL

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