Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Ugo Humbert		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.42
			Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	2.3 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
58.5%

Denis Shapovalov
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ugo Humbert will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 20. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 30.

Recent performances by Humbert have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shapovalov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Humbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Humbert might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Nuno Borges - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Ugo Humbert	Humbert U. retired ✺
26.05.25	Christopher OConnell - Ugo Humbert	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWW?W
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.25	Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Filip Misolic	2:3 ✺
26.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov	0:2
ATP Roma
18.09.20	Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov	1:2
ATP Auckland
15.01.20	Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Lyon
22.05.19	Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov	1:2

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