Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.82	1.45
	2.74	1.41	Watch
	2.71	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.28)	1.43 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
34.2%

Matteo Arnaldi
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Schoolkate (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Arnaldi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Arnaldi (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 96. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 74.

Schoolkate has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arnaldi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arnaldi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schoolkate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Arnaldi - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.76%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Lukas Klein - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tristan Schoolkate	Canceled ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Yi Zhou - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W?LLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
15.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2

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