Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Dusan Lajovic		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.97	1.76	Watch
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.54)	1.82 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
48.8%

Matej Dodig
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dusan Lajovic's form might have worsened.

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matej Dodig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dusan Lajovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dusan Lajovic - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dodig will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajovic (votes: 2 - 40%). Dodig (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 115. Dodig is ranked ATP: 248.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajovic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Dusan Lajovic - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Martin Landaluce - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Alex Molcan - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Henri Squire - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Matej Dodig - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Matej Dodig - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	David Pichler - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Justin Engel - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Jamie Mackenzie - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

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