Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.14	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.12	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
43.8%

Nicolas Jarry
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Jarry will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Jarry will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 128. Jarry is ranked ATP: 149.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jarry could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
17.05.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.25	Jie Cui - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Omar Jasika - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Nicolas Jarry - Arthur Fils	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Hugo Gaston - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide