Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Harold Mayot		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
59.3%

Tristan Schoolkate
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Harold Mayot - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mayot will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Schoolkate will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mayot: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mayot is ranked ATP: 191., and Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 153..

Mayot is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Schoolkate has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mayot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Mayot is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Mayot has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Harold Mayot - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Harold Mayot - Murphy Cassone	Cassone M. Retired ✺
25.09.26	Harold Mayot - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Edas Butvilas - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WL?WW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Philip Henning - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Matisse Bobichon - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Anton Matusevich - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Harold Mayot	0:2
09.06.25	Harold Mayot - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2
07.08.24	Harold Mayot - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2
Boys Singles US Open
04.09.19	Tristan Schoolkate - Harold Mayot	2:0

Harold Mayot - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide