Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday


	Pavel Kotov		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.55	1.52
	2.44	1.47
	2.57	1.56
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.49	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.71)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
37.6%

Jan-Lennard Struff
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan-Lennard Struff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Pavel Kotov - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Struff will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struff is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Struff will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Struff to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Alex Lawson	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Emilio Nava - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Alexei Popyrin - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Rinky Hijikata - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
13.03.23	Enzo Couacaud - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
09.03.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Radu Albot - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antalya
08.01.21	Pavel Kotov - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2

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