Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bengaluru (India), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Ugo Blanchet		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.82	2.02
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.58)	1.94 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
51.9%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Blanchet's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Blanchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Blanchet will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 158. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 322.

Blanchet is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Blanchet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Ugo Blanchet - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Ugo Blanchet - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Ugo Blanchet - Enzo Couacaud	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Luca Nardi - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Ugo Blanchet - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Steven Diez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Diez S. retired ✺
11.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.06.21	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ugo Blanchet	2:0

Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide