Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Ugo Humbert		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.42
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.38
	3.05	1.43
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.38	Watch
	2.95	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.74)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
32.3%

Andrey Rublev
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.5%	0%	41.5%

Ugo Humbert - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 24 - 58.5%). Rublev will win (votes: 17 - 41.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 43.4% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

In this match Rublev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rublev to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Humbert won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Quentin Halys - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.23	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	2:0
ATP Halle
20.06.21	Ugo Humbert - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP St Petersburg
15.10.20	Ugo Humbert - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.19	Ugo Humbert - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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