Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Adrian Mannarino		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	3.45	1.27	Watch
	3.68	1.26	Watch
	3.75	1.28
	3.74	1.29	Watch
	3.45	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.23)	1.27 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
26%

Andrey Rublev
74%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.1%

77.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 79., and Rublev is ranked ATP: 22..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mannarino won 1.

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Mannarino may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Rublev is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mannarino has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:13 (averaging 0.7:2.2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Almaty
19.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLW?L
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Rei Sakamoto - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Andrey Rublev - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
29.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	3:2
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	3:0
ATP Shanghai
09.10.23	Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Astana
07.10.22	Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Moscow
21.10.21	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	1:2
20.10.19	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	✺

Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev