Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday


	Adrian Mannarino		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.75	1.26
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.25
	4.1	1.28
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.78	1.27	Watch
	3.7	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
25.1%

Andrey Rublev
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Rublev will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Rublev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannarino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rublev is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mannarino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Adrian Mannarino - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
03.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Sebastian Ofner - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Adrian Mannarino - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Quentin Halys - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
23.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Astana
07.10.22	Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Moscow
21.10.21	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	1:2
20.10.19	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	2:0

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