Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.45
	1.57	2.58
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.51	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
62.1%

Ugo Humbert
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.6%	0%	51.4%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 17 - 48.6%). Humbert will win (votes: 18 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 34.8% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tsitsipas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Humbert is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tsitsipas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Shanghai
07.10.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Nicolas Jarry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lukas Klein	Klein L. retired ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLL?L
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Ugo Humbert - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
10.08.21	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.21	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Paris
03.11.20	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1

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