Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAGLIARI (ITALY), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Ugo Humbert		Laslo Djere

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.43	1.55	Watch
	2.47	1.6
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.42	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
39.1%

Laslo Djere
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Humbert's form might have worsened.

Laslo Djere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laslo Djere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laslo Djere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Ugo Humbert - Laslo Djere Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Djere will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djere: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Djere will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Challenger
06.05.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Taro Daniel - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Ugo Humbert	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
03.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW?WL
- Laslo Djere
ATP Challenger
06.05.23	Laslo Djere - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Jozef Kovalik - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
21.04.23	Alex Molcan - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

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