Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday


	Aslan Karatsev		Laslo Djere

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.33	1.6
	2.31	1.61
	2.4	1.63
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.21)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
41%

Laslo Djere
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Laslo Djere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Aslan Karatsev - Laslo Djere Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 9 - 30%). Djere will win (votes: 21 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djere: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatsev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Djere is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Djere will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Raul Brancaccio - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
20.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Laslo Djere
ATP Banja Luka
21.04.23	Alex Molcan - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
19.04.23	Laslo Djere - Borna Coric	2:1 ✺
18.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Jannik Sinner - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL

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