Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Ignacio Buse		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.77
	1.3	3.66	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.32	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.6)	3.47 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
72.4%

Ugo Humbert
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Ignacio Buse - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Buse (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Buse (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ignacio Buse will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 57. Humbert is ranked ATP: 34.

Buse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Humbert's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buse is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.29%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Ugo Humbert - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Justin Engel - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL

Ignacio Buse - Ugo Humbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide