Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Nicolas Mejia		Luca Potenza

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.49	Watch
	1.6	2.44
	1.50	2.54	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)	2.47 ↓ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
62%

Luca Potenza
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Nicolas Mejia - Luca Potenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Potenza will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Potenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 246. Potenza is ranked ATP: 479.

In recent matches, Mejia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Potenza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mejia could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Milos Karol - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Ilya Ivashka - Nicolas Mejia	Ivashka I. retired ✺
14.08.25	Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Nicolas Mejia - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?LW
- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Luca Potenza - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Norbert Gombos - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Koray Kirci - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Luca Potenza - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Luca Potenza - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW

Nicolas Mejia - Luca Potenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide