Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SEVILLE (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 September 2023, Friday


	Valentin Royer		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.71	2.12
	1.68	2.27
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
57.8%

Calvin Hemery
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Valentin Royer - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Royer will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Royer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hemery is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hemery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Royer will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Royer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Timofey Skatov - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Valentin Royer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Hernan Casanova - Valentin Royer	Casanova H. retired ✺
04.09.23	Valentin Royer - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Valentin Royer - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WW?WL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
06.09.23	Calvin Hemery - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
04.09.23	Adrian Andreev - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Benoit Paire - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Manuel Guinard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.22	Calvin Hemery - Valentin Royer	0:2

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