Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Valentin Royer		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.75
	2.04	1.83
	2.05	1.83
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.76	Watch
	1.92	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
47.3%

Maks Kasnikowski
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Royer's performance.

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maks Kasnikowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Valentin Royer - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Royer: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kasnikowski is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Valentin Royer - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
03.01.24	Valentin Royer - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Valentin Royer - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.12.23	Jules Marie - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Marek Gengel - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
03.01.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Adrian Andreev - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
13.11.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
09.11.23	Enzo Wallart - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

Valentin Royer - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide