Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MOUILLERON-LE-CAPTIF (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: MOUILLERON-LE-CAPTIF (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Valentin Royer		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.66
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.98)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
41.5%

Mathias Bourgue
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Royer's form might have worsened.

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mathias Bourgue's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Valentin Royer - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bourgue will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Royer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Valentin Royer - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
08.09.23	Valentin Royer - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
07.09.23	Timofey Skatov - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Valentin Royer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Hernan Casanova - Valentin Royer	Casanova H. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWW?
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
26.09.23	Gijs Brouwer - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Elias Ymer - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Peter Gojowczyk - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Gijs Brouwer - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Mathias Bourgue - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Sebastian Dominko - Valentin Royer	✺

Valentin Royer - Mathias Bourgue