Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.34	1.61	Watch
	2.21	1.72
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.27	1.64	Watch
	2.31	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.01)	1.65 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
42.3%

Sebastian Ofner
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 Games - Carballes Baena (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Ofner (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 59. Ofner is ranked ATP: 143.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ofner will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?L?LW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Roma
06.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
09.01.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide