Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.2
	1.63	2.28
	1.64	2.37
	1.56	2.34
	1.67	2.2
	1.64	2.28	Watch
	1.63	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)	2.28 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
58.3%

Jordan Thompson
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jordan Thompson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena Roberto - withdrawn.

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 56. Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 40.

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jordan Thompson is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carballes Baena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 L?LWW
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	0:3

Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide