Match Info

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Valentin Vacherot		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.91
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.86	1.96
	1.86	1.96
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.76	1.99	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.54)	1.94 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
51.8%

Alexander Ritschard
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Vacherot's form might have worsened.

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Ritschard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ritschard will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Vacherot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vacherot will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Houston
30.03.24	Valentin Vacherot - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Valentin Vacherot - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Valentin Vacherot - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Christian Garin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	Wong C. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLW?
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Houston
30.03.24	Alex Rybakov - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.24	Alexander Blockx - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Jakub Paul - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Kenny De Schepper - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Radu Albot - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL

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