Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN LUIS POTOSI (MEXICO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Valentin Vacherot		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.26	4
	1.26	4
	1.3	3.4
	1.27	3.59	Watch
	1.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.47)	3.77 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
75.1%

Bernard Tomic
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Valentin Vacherot - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tomic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vacherot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vacherot will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vacherot won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Valentin Vacherot - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Christian Garin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	Wong C. walkover ✺
27.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LW?WW
- Bernard Tomic
ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Bernard Tomic - Pablo Masjuan Ginel	Tomic B. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Bernard Tomic - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Bernard Tomic - Enzo Couacaud	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Bernard Tomic - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Bernard Tomic - Aditya Vishal Balsekar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Bernard Tomic	1:2

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