Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI 2 (THAILAND), HARD - FINAL

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Valentin Vacherot		Manuel Guinard

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.58
	1.55	2.58
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.47	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
61.1%

Manuel Guinard
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Valentin Vacherot - Manuel Guinard Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Guinard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vacherot will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vacherot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
12.01.24	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fery	Vacherot V. walkover ✺
11.01.24	Dennis Novak - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Valentin Vacherot - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
08.01.24	Valentin Vacherot - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Lucas Pouille - Valentin Vacherot	Pouille L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 ?WWW?
- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
12.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
11.01.24	Brandon Holt - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Manuel Guinard - Jason Jung	2:0 ✺
08.01.24	Manuel Guinard - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
31.12.23	Valentin Vacherot - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.12.23	Valentin Vacherot - Manuel Guinard	2:0

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