Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA 2 (PERU) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Valentin Vacherot		Max Houkes

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.15	1.62
	2.17	1.63
	2.18	1.64
	2.1	1.67
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	1.88	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.66)	1.67 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
44.3%

Max Houkes
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Vacherot's form might have worsened.

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Houkes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Houkes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vacherot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ITF Tournaments
20.10.23	Juan Pablo Paz - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
18.10.23	Giuseppe La Vela - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
12.10.23	Martin Krumich - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Irakli Tsurtsumia - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Valentin Vacherot - Julio Cesar Porras	Vacherot V. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLW?
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
31.10.23	Max Houkes - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Max Houkes - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Max Houkes - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.10.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.04.23	Max Houkes - Valentin Vacherot	2:1
ITF Tournaments
31.07.22	Valentin Vacherot - Max Houkes	2:0

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