Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Valentin Vacherot		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.68
	2.28	1.61	Watch
	2.17	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
42.2%

Tallon Griekspoor
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14%	0%	86%

Valentin Vacherot - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Users Predictions: Tallon Griekspoor will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tallon Griekspoor will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 204. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 31.

Vacherot has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Griekspoor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Griekspoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Griekspoor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Vacherot will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vacherot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
03.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Laslo Djere - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 ?WWWW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jannik Sinner	Sinner J. retired ✺
03.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 ?WLLL

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