Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	20:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	21:00	HBO Max
Croatia	20:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	20:00	HBO Max
Denmark	20:00	HBO Max
Finland	21:00	HBO Max
France	20:00	HBO Max
Hungary	20:00	HBO Max
Moldova	21:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	20:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	20:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	20:00	HBO Max
Norway	20:00	HBO Max
Poland	20:00	HBO Max
Romania	21:00	HBO Max
Serbia	20:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	20:00	HBO Max
Spain	20:00	HBO Max
Sweden	20:00	HBO Max


	Adrian Mannarino		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.37	1.64
	2.27	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.37	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.87)	1.65 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
42.1%

Tallon Griekspoor
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallon Griekspoor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallon Griekspoor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	0%	42.3%

Adrian Mannarino - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Griekspoor will win (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 7 - 70%). Griekspoor (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 73. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 31.

Mannarino is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Griekspoor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mannarino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mannarino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWWW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
07.05.22	Adrian Mannarino - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2

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