Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Genova 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Valerio Aboian		Lorenzo Rottoli

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Valerio Aboian
61.8%

Lorenzo Rottoli
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lorenzo Rottoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Aboian is ranked ATP: 431. Rottoli is ranked ATP: 901.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rottoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aboian will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Yanaki Milev - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Marko Topo - Valerio Aboian	Topo M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWW?
- Lorenzo Rottoli
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Johan Nikles - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Andrej Martin - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Matthias Ujvary - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Valerio Aboian - Lorenzo Rottoli