Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Varvara Gracheva		Ena Shibahara

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.36
	1.33	3.39
	3.32	1.34	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.34	3.26	Watch
	1.44	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.44)	2.88 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
63.7%

Ena Shibahara
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ena Shibahara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ena Shibahara than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ena Shibahara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Varvara Gracheva - Ena Shibahara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Shibahara (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Gracheva (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Varvara Gracheva will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varvara Gracheva will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 9 - 90%). Shibahara (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83. Shibahara is ranked WTA: 130.

Gracheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shibahara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gracheva might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Tara Wurth	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Ella Seidel - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW
- Ena Shibahara
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Elena Pridankina - Ena Shibahara	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Kayla Day - Ena Shibahara	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
05.08.25	Eri Hozumi - Ena Shibahara	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Haley Giavara - Ena Shibahara	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
26.06.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Ena Shibahara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches