Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Varvara Gracheva		Tara Wurth

	1	2
	1.1	7
	1.09	6.5
	1.1	6.41
	1.11	7.02
	1.11	5.88	Watch
	1.12	5.5
	1.1	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.22)	6.42 ↑ (4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
85.3%

Tara Wurth
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Gracheva's performance.

Tara Wurth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tara Wurth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Varvara Gracheva - Tara Wurth Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Wurth will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tara Wurth will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83. Wurth is ranked WTA: 219.

Gracheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wurth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gracheva is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Ella Seidel - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW
- Tara Wurth
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Tara Wurth - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Tara Wurth - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Tara Wurth - Jil Belen Teichmann	Canceled ✺
WTA Hamburg
14.07.25	Tara Wurth - Diane Parry	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Maria Timofeeva - Tara Wurth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WL?LL

Varvara Gracheva - Tara Wurth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide