Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday


	Veronika Erjavec		Laura Pigossi

	1	2
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.16	4.5	Watch
	1.18	5.05
	1.35	3.10	Watch
	1.17	4.5
	1.15	4.65	Watch
	1.17	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.37)	4.4 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veronika Erjavec
78.7%

Laura Pigossi
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veronika Erjavec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Veronika Erjavec's performance.

Laura Pigossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laura Pigossi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veronika Erjavec than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Veronika Erjavec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Pigossi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laura Pigossi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Veronika Erjavec - Laura Pigossi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Erjavec (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Veronika Erjavec will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Veronika Erjavec will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Erjavec (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erjavec is ranked WTA: 107. Pigossi is ranked WTA: 205.

Erjavec is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pigossi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pigossi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Erjavec is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veronika Erjavec
ATP Challenger
02.12.25	Veronika Erjavec - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Panna Udvardy - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Veronika Erjavec - Laura Samsonova	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Veronika Erjavec - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Veronika Erjavec - Marina Bulbarella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- Laura Pigossi
ATP Challenger
02.12.25	Ayana Akli - Laura Pigossi	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Laura Pigossi - Leolia Jeanjean	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
15.11.25	Maya Joint - Laura Pigossi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Veronika Erjavec - Laura Pigossi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide