Match Info

Date: 23 October 2020, Friday


	Victoria Azarenka		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.69	2.3
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Azarenka
56.3%

Elise Mertens
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Azarenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Azarenka than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.9%	0%	45.1%

Victoria Azarenka - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Azarenka will win (votes: 39 - 54.9%). Mertens will win (votes: 32 - 45.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Azarenka: 43.3% – 66.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Azarenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Azarenka
WTA Ostrava
21.10.20	Victoria Azarenka - Barbora Krejcikova	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
30.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Danka Kovinic	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
19.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Garbine Muguruza	1:2 ✺
18.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Darya Kasatkina	Kasatkina D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWL?
- Elise Mertens
WTA Ostrava
22.10.20	Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
21.10.20	Amanda Anisimova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
02.10.20	Caroline Garcia - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
30.09.20	Kaia Kanepi - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	Margarita Betova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
09.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Elise Mertens	2:0

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