Match Info

Date: 7 September 2020, Monday


	Victoria Azarenka		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	1.28	3.75	Watch
	1.34	3.2
	1.32	3.45	Watch
	1.31	3.25
	1.37	3.41
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.38	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)	3.37 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Azarenka
71.7%

Karolina Muchova
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Azarenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Azarenka's performance.

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Azarenka than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Azarenka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.1%	0%	20.9%

Victoria Azarenka - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: Victoria Azarenka will win (102 of 129 users predict this - 79.07%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.05% – 86.09%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Azarenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Muchova is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Azarenka
WTA US Open
05.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
03.09.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Azarenka	0:2 ✺
01.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Barbara Haas	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
29.08.20	Naomi Osaka - Victoria Azarenka	Azarenka V. walkover ✺
28.08.20	Johanna Konta - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWW?W
- Karolina Muchova
WTA US Open
05.09.20	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:1 ✺
03.09.20	Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
01.09.20	Karolina Muchova - Venus Williams	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
24.08.20	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
22.08.20	Karolina Muchova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

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