Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Karolina Muchova		Anna Kalinskaya

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.62	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.63	2.28	Watch
	1.47	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	2.37 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
59.9%

Anna Kalinskaya
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Muchova's form might have worsened.

Anna Kalinskaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anna Kalinskaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anna Kalinskaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	0%	86.4%

Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Kalinskaya will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalinskaya: 72.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Kalinskaya (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anna Kalinskaya will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Kalinskaya (votes: 12 - 92.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 19. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 28.

Muchova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalinskaya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Muchova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Karolina Pliskova - Karolina Muchova	Pliskova Ka. retired ✺
10.02.26	Tereza Valentova - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
25.01.26	Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Karolina Muchova - Magda Linette	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WWLW
- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Emma Navarro - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
24.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ningbo
18.10.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Karolina Muchova	1:2
WTA US Open
03.09.20	Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0
ITF Tournaments
30.03.18	Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:1

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