Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	ESPN
Australia	13:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	03:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	03:00	HBO Max
Brazil	23:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	04:00	HBO Max
Canada	21:00	RDS App
Colombia	21:00	ESPN
Croatia	03:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	03:00	HBO Max
Denmark	03:00	HBO Max
Finland	04:00	HBO Max
France	03:00	HBO Max
Hungary	03:00	HBO Max
Mexico	20:00	ESPN
Moldova	04:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	03:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	03:00	HBO Max
New Zealand	15:00	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	03:00	HBO Max
Norway	03:00	HBO Max
Peru	21:00	ESPN
Poland	03:00	HBO Max
Romania	04:00	HBO Max
Serbia	03:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	03:00	HBO Max
Spain	03:00	HBO Max
Sweden	03:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	02:00	Discovery+
Usa	21:00	ESPN USA
Venezuela	22:00	ESPN


	Victoria Mboko		Caty McNally

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.33	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.34	3.33	Watch
	1.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Mboko
71.7%

Caty McNally
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Mboko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Caty McNally has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Victoria Mboko aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Caty McNally aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Victoria Mboko - Caty McNally Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mboko will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). McNally will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mboko: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Mboko (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Victoria Mboko will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mboko (votes: 6 - 85.7%). McNally (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mboko is ranked WTA: 16. McNally is ranked WTA: 85.

Mboko is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

McNally has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

McNally may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mboko is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mboko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Mboko
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Emerson Jones	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
16.01.26	Mirra Andreeva - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Kimberly Birrell - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Anna Kalinskaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- Caty McNally
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Caty McNally - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
11.01.26	Caty McNally - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Caty McNally - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Caty McNally - Kaja Juvan	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
04.01.26	Xin Yu Wang - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.11.24	Victoria Mboko - Caty McNally	1:2

Victoria Mboko - Caty McNally