Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Katerina Siniakova		Anna Kalinskaya

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.81	2.02	Watch
	1.9	2.03
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.79	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.1)	2.01 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
52.6%

Anna Kalinskaya
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katerina Siniakova's performance.

Anna Kalinskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anna Kalinskaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katerina Siniakova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anna Kalinskaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Katerina Siniakova - Anna Kalinskaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Kalinskaya will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalinskaya: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anna Kalinskaya will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 39. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 24.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kalinskaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Anna Kalinskaya - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Katerina Siniakova - Lois Boisson	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Katerina Siniakova - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Clara Tauson - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
22.04.26	Elvina Kalieva - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Magdalena Frech - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WL?W?
- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Dalma Galfi - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.26	Iva Jovic - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Paula Badosa - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Viktoriya Tomova - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Anastasia Zakharova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
14.08.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Katerina Siniakova	2:1
WTA US Open
28.08.23	Anna Kalinskaya - Katerina Siniakova	2:0

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