Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Viktor Durasovic		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.88	1.43
	2.61	1.42	Watch
			Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.61)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktor Durasovic
33.8%

Shintaro Mochizuki
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktor Durasovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktor Durasovic than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Viktor Durasovic - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Durasovic is ranked ATP: 243. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 92.

Durasovic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mochizuki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mochizuki could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Viktor Durasovic - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.24%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktor Durasovic
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Timothee Lustig	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Athens
02.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
17.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW

Viktor Durasovic - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide