The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vilius Gaubas 26.8%
Henry Searle 73.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
66.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
67.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.
Henry Searle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henry Searle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henry Searle than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henry Searle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
0%
61.5%
Vilius Gaubas - Henry Searle Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Searle will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Searle: 35% – 88%.