Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino (San Marino), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Fratta A. (Ita)


	Vilius Gaubas		Kyrian Jacquet

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.21	1.6	Watch
	2.37	1.6
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.6)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
42%

Kyrian Jacquet
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.

Kyrian Jacquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyrian Jacquet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyrian Jacquet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Vilius Gaubas - Kyrian Jacquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Jacquet will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jacquet is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jacquet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jacquet will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWW
- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Benjamin Hassan	Canceled ✺
14.07.24	Alexander Ritschard - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 L?LWW

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