Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Mees Rottgering

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.67	2.24
	1.61	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.37)	2.25 ↓ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
58.5%

Mees Rottgering
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.

Mees Rottgering has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mees Rottgering's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mees Rottgering, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Vilius Gaubas - Mees Rottgering Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rottgering will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 184. Rottgering is ranked ATP: 835.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaubas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLW
- Mees Rottgering
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.25	Mees Rottgering - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Mees Rottgering - Oskari Paldanius	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
03.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

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