Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Vit Kopriva		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.2
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	2.12 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vit Kopriva
55.8%

Gauthier Onclin
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vit Kopriva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Vit Kopriva - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kopriva is ranked ATP: 71. Onclin is ranked ATP: 169.

Recent form of Kopriva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Onclin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Onclin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Onclin will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vit Kopriva
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Vit Kopriva - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Alexis Galarneau - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.26	Vit Kopriva - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
13.07.26	Vit Kopriva - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - James McCabe	Canceled ✺
13.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WW?LW

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