Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday


	Vit Kopriva		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.05	1.74
	2.18	1.66
	2.11	1.75
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.16	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.86)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vit Kopriva
42.5%

Jelle Sels
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vit Kopriva's form might have worsened.

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelle Sels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vit Kopriva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelle Sels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Vit Kopriva - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: Jelle Sels will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kopriva is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sels is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kopriva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sels will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kopriva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Jozef Kovalik - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
02.11.22	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
31.10.22	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.22	Vit Kopriva - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
07.11.22	Jelle Sels - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Mathias Bourgue - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
27.10.22	Benoit Paire - Jelle Sels	Paire B. retired ✺
25.10.22	Evan Furness - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Matteo Martineau - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.05.19	Jelle Sels - Vit Kopriva	1:2

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