Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Vitaliy Sachko		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	3.65	1.24	Watch
	3.96	1.27
	3.67	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.91	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.73)	1.27 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitaliy Sachko
25.4%

Mackenzie McDonald
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitaliy Sachko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitaliy Sachko's form might have worsened.

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackenzie McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitaliy Sachko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Vitaliy Sachko - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mackenzie McDonald will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sachko is ranked ATP: 185. McDonald is ranked ATP: 119.

Sachko is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, McDonald has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sachko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McDonald might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.73%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Titouan Droguet	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLL?L
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Acapulco
21.02.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Remy Bertola	McDonald M. retired ✺
29.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LL??W

Vitaliy Sachko - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide