Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	2.1	1.73
	2.32	1.59
	2.16	1.76
	2.12	1.68
	2.1	1.73
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.38)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
44.3%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - McDonald (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 113. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 56.

McDonald has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kovacevic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kovacevic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kovacevic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Remy Bertola	McDonald M. retired ✺
29.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?WWLL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Kovacevic	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
19.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2
ATP London
14.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0
ATP Seoul
30.09.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2

Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide