Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Vitaliy Sachko		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.50	Watch
	1.27	3.4	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.7
	1.29	3.27	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	3.48 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitaliy Sachko
73.3%

Samuele Pieri
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitaliy Sachko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitaliy Sachko's performance.

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitaliy Sachko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Vitaliy Sachko - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sachko will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pieri will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sachko is ranked ATP: 179., and Pieri is ranked ATP: 398..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Pieri may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Sachko is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Samuele Pieri - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.82%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Vitaliy Sachko	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WWLW
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Samuele Pieri - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Laurent Lokoli - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Samuele Pieri - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Alex Barrena - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLL

Vitaliy Sachko - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide