Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Laurent Lokoli		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.61	2.3
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
58.5%

Samuele Pieri
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laurent Lokoli's performance.

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laurent Lokoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Laurent Lokoli - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lokoli will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Pieri will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lokoli is ranked ATP: 385., and Pieri is ranked ATP: 398..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Lokoli may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lokoli holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lokoli has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Laurent Lokoli - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Samuele Pieri - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Daniel Michalski - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Laurent Lokoli	de Marchi A. Retired ✺
23.09.26	Pasquale De Giorgio - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLW?W
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Samuele Pieri - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Alex Barrena - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Gabriele Piraino - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Dominko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.07.22	Laurent Lokoli - Samuele Pieri	2:1

Laurent Lokoli - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide