Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Alex Barrena		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.66	2.1
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.69	2.1
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	2.09 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
55.6%

Samuele Pieri
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Barrena's performance.

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Barrena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alex Barrena - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barrena will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pieri will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 216. Pieri is ranked ATP: 405.

Now, both players are in good form.

Pieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Barrena - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Alex Barrena - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Zdenek Kolar - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Nico Hipfl - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Ognjen Milic - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Gabriele Piraino - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Dominko	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Andrea de Marchi	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Nicolo Toffanin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Alex Barrena - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide