Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 East Lansing, MI, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Nikita Filin		Karl Poling

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.90
	1.90	1.80
	1.86	1.96
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.90	1.87
	1.79	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikita Filin
50.4%

Karl Poling
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikita Filin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikita Filin than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikita Filin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Filin is ranked ATP: 1462. Poling is ranked ATP: 491.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Filin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Karl Poling - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikita Filin
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Nikita Filin - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Nikita Filin - Marko Mesarovic	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Naoya Honda - Nikita Filin	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Nikita Filin - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Nikita Filin - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLL
- Karl Poling
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Axel Nefve - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Karl Poling	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Jesse Flores - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Aidan Kim - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Tyler Zink - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

Nikita Filin - Karl Poling: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide