Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 6, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Yanki Erel		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.9
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.4	2.63
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	2.73 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
65.9%

Matthew Donald
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanki Erel's performance.

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Yanki Erel - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erel is ranked ATP: 396. Donald is ranked ATP: 552.

Erel is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Donald is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Donald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Erel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Erel will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Yanki Erel - Maximilian Neuchrist	Neuchrist M. Retired ✺
15.04.26	Yanki Erel - Nazim Makhlouf	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Yanki Erel - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Yanki Erel - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Yanki Erel - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	Turriziani Alvarez A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WWW?
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Keshav Chopra - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Anton Shepp - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Matthew Donald - John Hallquist Lithen	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Matthew Donald - Peter Makk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.03.23	Matthew Donald - Yanki Erel	1:2

Yanki Erel - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide